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Energy · Paris, France ·

IEA chief sees little chance of oil market normalizing next year

The head of the IEA said oil markets are unlikely to return to normal next year, with prices above $100 a barrel compared with under $70 before the war and diesel at record highs. Goldman Sachs said tanker freight rates have risen to $20 a barrel from $3, and Morgan Stanley expects fuel markets to stay tight through mid-2027. Middle East Eye reported Gulf oil exports exceed pre-war levels via ship-to-ship transfers and Red Sea routes.

Why it matters

Prolonged high fuel and shipping costs feed inflation in import-dependent economies such as Zimbabwe, Japan and Europe.

Background

The war involving Iran damaged Gulf refineries and disrupted shipping through Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab. The IEA advises major consuming nations on energy security.

The story so far

  1. Brent crude touches $110 as Hormuz attacks escalate
  2. Brent touches near $110 before easing as Middle East supply recovers
  3. Oil prices ease on hopes of Middle East diplomacy as freight costs soar
  4. IEA chief sees little chance of oil market normalizing next year

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Sources

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